“Multiple losses to non-elite opponents, or an extended Lawrence absence that forces the backup into action, would drop Jacksonville from division favorite to wild card scramble.” desk record, 2026-09-30
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Five final scores replaced preseason projection and moved Jacksonville from a 13-win baseline to a 4-1 start. Since the last checkpoint, Harrison went from leaving Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on a cart to injured reserve amid surgery reports. Two club-announced signings arrived, Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Montaric Brown appeared on the Week 6 injury report, and Week 6 power rankings placed Jacksonville in the consensus top five.
Jacksonville is 4-1 and alone atop the AFC South after beating Philadelphia 19-17 in London, turning a 13-win baseline into real control. Jacksonville Jaguars left tackle Anton Harrison landing on injured reserve with knee surgery ahead is the crack in a contender profile, and Wembley will show how far it spreads.
Watch Houston at Wembley for clean protection, continued run defense near 63.8 yards allowed per game and no new absences before the short-week trip to Baltimore.
Multiple losses to non-elite opponents, or an extended starting-quarterback absence that forces the backup into action, would knock Jacksonville from division favorite to a wild-card scramble.
Checkpoint: Houston Texans, 2026-10-18.