“Multiple losses to non-elite opponents through November or a long-term quarterback absence would knock Jacksonville from division favorite into a wild-card scramble.” desk record, 2026-10-17
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Five finals became six with the 31-34 Wembley loss to Houston, moving Jacksonville from 4-1 to 4-2 while holding first place. The Harrison story hardened from surgery watch to season ending torn ACL corroborated by ESPN, CBS Sports and NFL insider Ian Rapoport via Big Cat Country. Estimated space sits near $4,659,858.
4-2 and alone in first after a 31-34 loss to Houston at Wembley. Jacksonville still owns the AFC South race off a 13-win core, with a January home game as the ceiling and a wild card scramble as the floor, and Jacksonville Jaguars offensive tackle Anton Harrison out for the season with a torn ACL makes protection the season.
Watch the Nov 1 home game against Indianapolis for clean protection from the new left edge and a bounce back win that guards the cushion before a four day turn to Baltimore.
Multiple losses to non elite opponents through November or a second starting line loss would drop Jacksonville from division favorite to wild card scramble. A single bounce back win would not restore the January ceiling alone.
Checkpoint: Indianapolis Colts, 2026-11-01.